Adam Forsyth
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Articles By This Author
US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
## Market Snapshot Iran diplomatic meetings are currently priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago, but down from 2% a week ago. Military
Solana Yield Protocol Carrot Shuts Down After $8M Exploit
Carrot, a Solana-based DeFi yield protocol, announced its permanent shutdown on April 30, 2026, after losing approximately $8 million in total value locked, roughly half
Crypto VC shrinks to $659m in April, lowest since 2024
Crypto VC funding slid to $659m across 63 April deals, a 74% drop from March that drags monthly flows back to 2024 lows even as
Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
## Market Snapshot In the Polymarket event “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th”, pricing reflects a 0% YES probability as
Dogecoin (DOGE) Whales Quietly Accumulate as Holdings Hit Record Levels
A wave of whale transactions and rising holdings suggests something bigger may be unfolding behind DOGE’s latest price surge. After a period of relative
Why Brad Garlinghouse still backs CLARITY Act
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse declared at XRP Las Vegas that the CLARITY Act will pass by the end of May, his third public deadline for
Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
## Market Snapshot US obtains Iranian enriched uranium market is priced at 8.5% YES for May 31, down from 10% a week ago. Iran enriched
MSTR Snaps 9-Month Losing Streak With 33% Gain in April
MSTR is up roughly 9.5% year-to-date, placing it ahead of the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, while the BTC backing its treasury is down
137 Ventures reloads with $700m to chase AI agents and space
137 Ventures has raised over $700m across two new funds, lifting AUM above $15b as it doubles down on AI agents, robotics, advanced industry and
Trump comments hint at US-Iran tensions amid Strait of Hormuz blockade
## Market Snapshot The market for a US declaration of war on Iran by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 7.5% for a YES